Post
Topic
Board Service Discussion
Re: Risk/AML score
by
o_e_l_e_o
on 26/10/2023, 10:17:11 UTC
Are these results accurate, especially since most of them are generated by artificial intelligence? Can it be relied upon to bring charges or acquit people, since they may lead to criminal charges, or is this not possible as they are based on random results or inaccurate.
No, they are not accurate at all, and no, they should not be relied on as evidence in any court.

Have a read of this thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5464886.0

One of the biggest blockchain analysis companies in existence - Chainalysis - has had to say in court multiple times that they have absolutely zero scientific evidence to back up any of their analysis techniques, and has absolutely no data on the accuracy of their techniques, how many false positives they identify, or indeed any proof whatsoever that their results are anything beyond guesswork. Blockchain analysis is a sham, and they've admitted it in court. It is not evidence based. See this post of mine from the above thread:

I did a small experiment some time ago regarding blockchain analysis: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5395035.msg59905002#msg59905002

One particular piece of blockchain analysis software put a significant amount of coins in the wallet of various centralized exchanges in one of the categories of scams, hacks, or blacklists. Obviously the blockchain analysis software being used by these exchanges did not classify these coins in this manner, otherwise they wouldn't have accepted those coins. The fact that two different pieces of software can come to completely different conclusions about the exact same coins should be more than enough to tell you that blockchain analysis is made up trash.

One of the core principles of any piece of science is that its results are repeatable and independently verifiable. If I come up with a process to say, isolate gold from an alloy, then I publish my methods and other people perform the same steps, end up with the same results, and verify my process works. If I come up with a process to say some coins are tainted, and other people do the same thing and end up with completely different results, then my process is bullshit.