Post
Topic
Board Gambling
Re: Lotteries and possibility vs. probability
by
Hamphser
on 30/10/2023, 22:00:13 UTC
I have recently read an interesting essay on this topic, but it was already explained it to me a few years ago.

The thesis would consist that, although the probability of winning classical lotteries is near zero (typically between 0.0000007% in the case of Euromillions and 0.000003% in the case of national lotteries), people is willing to pay an excessive overprice because they are buying the right to dream about the possibility of winning.

Although there are extreme cases that get addicted to lotteries, this is quite uncommon if I'm not wrong, because, if you are not paying for the probability but for the possibility, a bet of 1 USD is enough to buy said possibility.

On the other hand, national lotteries are known to be "taxes on ignorance of mathematics", but if these revenues financed public expenses that revert to the common good: would you agree to pay systematically 1 USD more in your annual taxes as something that ensures the right to dream of a dear life of every taxpayer?

The right to dream? Everyone already has it! Just go to bed Wink

The tax for those ignorant of the maths, that's more like it. I would pay that amount if it weren't additional to existing taxes. Otherwise, what's the point in feeding the machine?

Overall the lottery is the government's profit baby. Casino have their games of chance and skill, while governments use the lottery to profit from the dreams of people...99.9999%+ of these dreams never come true.
People should somehting need to realize.  Smiley