Afghanistan is strong side because of their batting and bowling unit. Netherlands is new and not so much experience in world cup cricket. Afghanistan played 6 matches so far in this world cup and they have win 3 match against world champions team England, Pakistan and Srilanka with 8 points and 6th postion on points tables. Netherlands aslo played 6 matches in this world cup they win only 2 match one against Top team South Africa and Second is against Bangladesh, they are 8th Positions in point tables. Winner of this match between Afghanistan and Netherlands will have more chances to qualify for Champion trophy.
In terms of experience, both the teams are at the same level. Netherlands was part of the 2020–2023 ICC Cricket World Cup Super League (scrapped for the second season), and as a part of this tournament they played 24 ODI matches against full member nations. And they do have very experienced players such as Wesley Barresi, Logan van Beek and Roloef van der Merwe. So it is not actually correct to label the Netherlands as an inexperienced team. They maybe an associate nation, but there is no dearth of international experience for sure.
I would say Afghanistan players are more experienced on Indian pitch than Netherlands. Because Afghanistan squad has several players who are playing regularly in IPL. However, Afghanistan team is in better form than Netherlands. Afghanistan team managed to defeat Sri Lanka Pakistan and England team. They are playing very well. Lucknow's pitch helps the bowlers a lot. If Afghanistan's bowlers are able to perform their duties properly then they have a chance to win.
Netherlands lost the wicket of opener Barresi in the first over. But at the end of 8 overs their collection is 51/1. O'Dowd and Colin are batting very responsibly. They managed to score more than 6 runs per over.
Max O'Dowd and Colin Ackermann put on an excellent partnership of 70 runs. But Max O'Dowd was just run out. Max O'Dowd was unlucky. He got out after collecting 42 runs off 40 balls. Azmatullah Omarzai fielded well. Netherlands managed to collect 74 runs in 12 overs. Although the run rate is quite good, I doubt whether Netherlands will be able to bat 50 overs. If the Netherlands can deliver a target of more than 280 today, they have a chance of winning. But if the target is less than 280 then Afghanistan team will win. Netherlands bowlers are not experienced enough. So the batsmen have to try to give big targets.