Don't write AFG, they still have two game while NZ and PAK has only one game left so who knows if AFG win both games then they can surpass both of them and take a spot at top 4.

NZ playing against SL on Nov 9

PAK playing against ENG on Nov 11

So we have to wait until that to find who is going to take that 4th spot. As I said AFG also got a chance too if they can manage to pull some miracles.