India semifinal qualify
South Africa semifinal qualify
Australia has a 100% chance of qualifying for the semi-finals, but New Zealand or Pakistan are more likely to finish fourth. If New Zealand can beat Sri Lanka, they will go directly to the semi-finals. But if Pakistan can beat England by a huge margin, then there is a possibility of going to the semi-finals.
Both SL and England are weakest team of this tournament. Its very much possible that both NZ and Pakistan will beat SL and England in there next encounter. NZ are still ahead of Pakistan in terms of NRR. For Pakistan to make it to next round, SL must beat NZ in next match otherwise it won't be possible for Pakistan to make it to semis.