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You may be right but i have a gut feeling that India will win this World Cup.
Simply looking at the performance from all the teams, you could see that India is the team to beat in this tournament and it will be a surprise if they do not win, so no need for gut feelings for that

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And as far as the last World Cup is concerned, I remember that England was given an unfair advantage in the last over and it was a controversial win for England.
The rules were not set by the ICC when they saw England in the final, the rules were there even when the tournament started and if any other team or even Bangladesh or Pakistan were in the final, the same rule applies

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I don't know but I can see the ICC's new patterns, The Big 3 hosting the World Cup and winning it. Englands hosted in 2019 and England won it.
This time India is hosting the World Cup and it is programmed for an Indian Win:

It is better to accept the fact that performance of the team counts rather than programming a win, if this is your theory that host countries win, historically the host country never won the World Cup historically and that trend was changed only in 2011 when India won the World Cup.