For me no team asides of Manchester City and Real Madrid can have a chance right now to become the champion of the season of UCL, the 15% for Bayern can be accurate but also overstimate, because they havent played against any good team until now. And this Bayern is going from less to more, but lets see how they do against big teams, against a weak Man utd they strugled a lot.
Likewise with Real Madrid, the fact is that the team that was their opponent in the group phase was not as strong as the previous season. Napoli, not in a stable condition. but in fact, they were able to provide quite interesting resistance to Real Madrid. I have not seen Madrid against a strong and consistent team. only Barcelona, and even then in the domestic league with the absence of several of Xavi Hernandez's squad, it is possible that in the round of 16 Madrid will be met with one of the strong teams.
Not much different from Man City, but their record is still one of the best teams and is even the favorite to defend their title in this competition. City, like Madrid, will qualify to become leaders in their respective groups in this group phase.
Well, now we talk about Bayern Munich. It could be said that Thomas Tuchel's squad still has problems in its squad. Tuchel must strengthen his defense line by closing the gaps that they lack. Likewise with the main goalkeeper, who has not yet fully returned to playing at his best. however, don't get me wrong. This German team is capable and worthy of providing resistance to Madrid and Manchester City. Yep, after all, Kane's presence in the current Bayern squad has made a big contribution. Kane, is not only a goal machine for them. However, he often also takes part in providing assists and space for his teammates. problem, Tuchel just needs to perfect the system he implements. The rest, we'll just see as this team plays match after match.