For me no team asides of Manchester City and Real Madrid can have a chance right now to become the champion of the season of UCL, the 15% for Bayern can be accurate but also overstimate, because they havent played against any good team until now. And this Bayern is going from less to more, but lets see how they do against big teams, against a weak Man utd they strugled a lot.
No doubt about the quality of these teams with Manchester City is surely having edge but after them, I have feeling Bayern Munich and Real Madrid both are having same advantage and as their performance is going we can expect them into last four if we have no clash in early matches for the last and fourth team we will have tough competition between few teams because these all are having same level of quality but still few clubs like Inter Milan and Arsenal are better.
At the top Manchester City is surely hot favorite for another double, but their challengers are also doing their best which is going to create good entertainment for the soccer fans in coming matches specially Real Madrid performance is impressive even mostly were feeling they are having problems due to lacking of quality striker.
Real Madrid are performing well, and I don't think Real Madrid are concerned about strikers because Bellingham is already forming well for them. I don't think Real Madrid will like to find strikers in the next transfer window expect next season and Bayer Munich or Real Madrid can win this champions league this season, because they are the only clubs that are trying very hard in both league and the Champions League and Manchester City can't win Premier League this season again, because they are performing weak in the league let see after the international break if they can defeat Liverpool in the premier league competition.
Liverpool has been fantastic this season, and I am confident that they will win the league if they continue to play well. However, it will be difficult for Liverpool to defeat Manchester City because they are playing at home and it will be a difficult game for both clubs. I believe Liverpool will give their best and try to win or draw against them Because several of their players are still out, Liverpool has a chance to win the match, In my opinion Manchester City will not win the Champions League and Premier League this season.