Aston Villa has better goal productivity than Tottenham. But I see Tottenham still have a good chance of beating Aston Villa. This is an interesting match because the two teams are only 1 point apart. Tottenham will win that match and Aston Villa will remain in 5th place in the standings. Even though Aston Villa has more wins but it cannot be said that Aston Villa has better chances.
I still don't think Tottenham will beat Aston Villa; the team has been playing better this season, and some of Tottenham's players won't be able to play due to injuries, so I can't say that the game will be easy to win. Aston Villa's performance is stronger right now; Tottenham is only one point ahead of them, but they have more goals than Tottenham. If Tottenham puts in more effort against Aston Villa, they might be able to win at home, which would keep Aston Villa in 5th place. However, I can't predict the game right now because both teams have a good chance to win.
Even if Aston Villa defeat Tottenham, it will be difficult for them to do so because Tottenham will not want to lose any more matches because they have already made mistakes against Chelsea, which has caused them to lose matches and perform poorly, but I am confident they will try their hardest after returning from the international break, because if they lose to Aston Villa they will top them in the league and it will be very difficult for them to top the league and they can't win the premier league trophy. I didn't expect Tottenham to drop to first place now because they are performing well, but I believe the red card they received against Chelsea has confused them in their matches, and now that Richarlison is injured, it will be difficult for them to win their match against Aston Villa. I believe the best thing they can do is draw the game because Aston Villa is in form and would like to finish in the top four this season and get the opportunity to qualify to the Champions league next season.