I agree with you. At the moment I don't see any chance of Chelsea winning this game. Although the bookies predict this will be an even match but one important note here is that Chelsea are very inconsistent and they often lose against average teams. Newcastle are in their best form and of course they have good statistics in the league this season.
I think the game is open to be won by either of Chelsea and Newcastle United. While Chelsea are knownn to be an inconsistent team and poor in front of goal; this season Newcastle United has also been inconsistent and injury ravaged which is enough reason to help gamblers understand its either any team wins or a draw ensues
Personally, i think Chelsea will win the tie, they are in good spirits and better form as well.
I don't see Chelsea to be inconsistent in their performance this season, in last season I can rate Chelsea to be one of the most inconsistent team in premier league but Chelsea have really improve this season in their games .
If Chelsea was able to play a draw game with Manchester City and Arsenal I don't think Newcastle will be something that will be difficult for them. Newcastle is a strong team and they still have chance of winning Chelsea but from what we have seen in Chelseas recent performance I think they have the ability of challenging any tough team in premier league.