Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread
by
tokeweed
on 29/11/2023, 12:11:30 UTC
And who beat Dariush ? Not the top of lightweight division either Cheesy Actually I have same questions to Arman and Dariush - why are you so high in ranking, when you beat unranked guys ? Cheesy But, I know why odds on Arman are so low and Dariush is a huge underdog. Age and the fact that Arman lost to Makhachev via UD Cheesy That automatically crosses out wrestling and bjj from Dariush skills, and Armans striking is much better Cheesy Its A+ for me in this math test.

I am more interested to watch Rob Fons vs Figueiredo fight. First seems to retire any second, second only fought lego lover over last 3 years (that bad, as it limits you as a fighter, as a technician) Cheesy

Sure Tsarukyan is the rightful favorite...  He's younger and more athletic.  But then does that totally negate Dariush as a fighter?  Don't forget that Dariush beat Gamrot, the guy who Tsarukyan.  I think the line is wide at 3.20 for Dariush.  That's just around 30% implied probability.  Surely Dariush could make the match closer and prolly even go his way.  Unless he got KO'd as he tends to be on the chinny side.


We are playing math now Cheesy Dont forget that Tsarukyan lost by UD to Makhachev. A guy who subbed Oliveira, who TKOed Dariush (when he supposed to submit him) Cheesy Its Tsarukyan that gained experience after Makhachev fight vs Dariush who lost peak Oliveira. Dunno, dunno. I am bad at math... Gonna be a good fight.


 

Again I'm talking about line value and the line is def wide.  Dariush at 3.20 could be value, that's if he doesn't get KO'd.  And if I'm betting on Tsarukyan at 1.37 or whatever then I'd expect no less than total dominance on the mat, on the feet and by the cage  which I don't think will happen.  But yeah, I could be wrong.  I just don't think with Dariush's skill set and experience he should be lined at 3.20.

Here's another replay to watch...  Enjoy.  Wink

UFC Free Fight:  Turner vs Mullarkey
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4PlrYX1J8O4