Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread
by
tokeweed
on 01/12/2023, 12:36:48 UTC




You think odds on Arman are correct and justified?
I dont think he is going to be that dominant against Beneil Dariush like odds suggest, and I am thinking we could sea major upset here.
My best bet in this card is Deiveson Figueiredo, I think this is perfect him to return winning against Rob Font.


I really like Arman Tsarukyan's chance, it could be a 50/50 chance but in my opinion, because of his age the chance of getting a win might be possible, and because of this a younger fighter also has a chance of getting much improvement for sure Charles Oliveira is stronger than Beneil Dariush as I think he is not improving much I guess this is just what I think as Arman Tsarukyan looks pretty much improving over time than with Gamrot,



If the match is 50/50 then there's lots of value for Dariush at 3.20 making it +EV and should make you money long term if you keep taking these spots.  I think the books are thinking that Dariush is getting KO'd as he did vs Charles Oliveira.  Tsakuryan very may well could but then again, MMA is such a nuanced sport that there's a larger degree of unpredictability than say..  boxing.

Anyway another interesting match up could be Sean Brady vs Gastelum.  If Gastelum looks good on the scale, he could win this one.