Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread
by
hahay
on 04/12/2023, 15:33:28 UTC
This is not the first match in which Dortmund has acted in this way against a strong opponent, they did something similar in the match against Newcastle. For Dortmund, an away draw is a completely acceptable result, but for Bayer it is a loss of very important points, now Bayern will almost certainly be able to take advantage of these and get ahead of them, although if they win they will be equal on points, but Bayern will have a better goal difference.

If we talk about the theoretical situation, Bayer still have an advantage - firstly, for Bayern to catch up with them, they still have to win the game in hand. Secondly, even if Bayern wins, the teams will have an equal number of points, but the remaining head-to-head game will be on Bayer's field where they can tip the scales in their favor. But these are theoretical considerations, it is clear that Bayern actually remains a very big favorite.

I wish Leverkusen would have won the game as this draw is kind of annoying for both of them. Dortmund couldn't get any closer to the top and to Bayern and Leverkusen couldn't turn their dominant game into important three points. No need to discuss that a win would have been preferable for obvious reasons, but it is true that Leverkusen has the game against Bayern on their home ground. To tie a game against Dortmund is ok and Bayern will have some weaker games, too. But we can already see what's needed to stay level with Bayern. Wins, wins, wins.

In essence, Bayern Munich in the last week or in week 13 got their match postponed due to snow and at the same time, Bayer Leverkusen failed to get three points because Dortmund managed to hold a draw. Thus, Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich now only have a gap of 3 points but ya, Bayern Munich has a postponed match, so of course Bayern Munich will still have a chance to be able to take over the top position of the Bundesliga standings over time. Because of course, Bayern Munich has a good winning mentality so yes, it is not surprising that so far Bayern Munich has still managed to pressure Bayer Leverkusen.