Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: We All Know, The halving time will be full of drama
by
Lauri.co
on 08/12/2023, 09:51:32 UTC
Yes, like the title above, we all know the halving time is will always full of drama, this always happens at that time, but I don't know why many people forget and still spread FUD everywhere. If they understand that and know it always happens on every 4 years, they shall be calm and relaxed to face SEC, Binance, or anything drama.

I hope this lesson gives you an important point. They create this to dump Bitcoin, they do this to scare you, they do this to buy Bitcoin at a cheap price, and After buying with a lot of money, you already know that today Bitcoin price is pumped like crazy, right?

So, I just want to say; Don't forget, The drama could happen again and repeat until the halving time. you must be strong and patient. you will definitely win if you face it with a quiet and strong hand if happen again in the near future.

Cheers
3 halvings, so N=2 (number of pattern repetitions). It is far from enough to proceed with such certainty and ignorance of all other factors. In a cointoss game the probability of calling 3x heads in a row (or tails three times) is 1:4 and yet to the inattentive observer the conclusions may be: 'so far it has always come up heads, so I assume that tails can never occur and I'll bet on that all my money ignoring the fact that another side of a coin exist".
it should also be noted that correlation does not imply causality and it is impossible to judge causality on such a young and volatile financial instrument with such a small sample.

Returning to the halvings, each subsequent halving is different and from a fundamental point of view it is advisable to expect an increasingly weaker impact on the valuation because: