Yeah, and it leads nowhere really! Starting December the 25:

Foundry 40,42,39,38
Antpool 33,34,37,34
F2pool 21,20,11,15
Viabtc 19,8,17,8

Before you think P2pool might do something like intentionally that those guys mined once 4 blocks after a day of 20, once you zoom out swing of 10 blocks a day are weekly occurrence.

The rest are not capable with all their hashrate to generate a 6% swing.

Rather than looking at the current downtrend as something unusual we might have to consider the previous peak as something out of the ordinary, the 7% was clearly not normal, and no, all the downclocking and upclocking and cockblocking in the world would not have triggered that, were talking about MW of extra power you don't just power extra 100MW out of the nowhere and tell the electricity company to please turn for a few days a new reactor back on till the end of the difficulty adjustment

Look at the previous adjustments that had a 6 number

+ 6.45 %  but after a - 3.26 % and followed by a - 2.94 %   
+ 6.17 %  but after a + 0.12 % and after it a - 2.65 %
+ 6.47 %    + 0.35 % and + 2.35 %

There is no way an organic grow can keep 6%,6% and 6%...even if we go with the overclocking downclocking stuff, how is that it would always go up? And why in steps? Why spread over two months and not in a few days?


Still chances of being positive, but not by that scary margin anymore.