Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Merits 2 from 1 user
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
AlcoHoDL
on 05/01/2024, 16:46:16 UTC
⭐ Merited by JayJuanGee (2)
The BTC halving is now less than 100 days away.

New ATH incoming?

x

Mathematically, the projection of these number series is $36280 by halving, but I don't want to believe this number (too small).
If by a % of prior ATH, the repeat of prior 'arrangement' (between the prior ATH in 2017 and 49% of it at halving in 2020) is even slightly smaller at $34236, which also feels a bit low.

IMHO, 45-55K is where we should 'aim' at.

Unfortunately, science doesn't care what you (we) believe.

But Bitcoin is a stochastic system, so, in some sense, we are allowed to believe what we want (within bounds). On ETF approval, I believe we'll settle around $50k as a worst-case scenario, with an open top, reaching ATH and beyond, if a FOMO pump is started.

Whatever happens, 2024 will be a breath of fresh air, much needed after the last few years' relatively boring price action.