~Snip
If you look at the progress of the match in the first half. I think Arsenal is a little better than Liverpool, where they won possession of the ball and they had 6 shots on target. Meanwhile, Liverpool hasn't had a shot on target at all. Arsenal has an advantage because they are playing at home, so if Liverpool doesn't improve in the second half, I think Arsenal will be able to win this match.
Actually, Liverpool also fired a shot in the first half, but unfortunately it hit the crossbar hard. Arsenal certainly have more opportunities to score goals, but they are also less fortunate in taking advantage of these opportunities. The second half was much more exciting because Liverpool started to find better form, but Arsenal did not give up and they continued to try to break down Liverpool's defense.
Just like you, I think Arsenal has a higher chance of winning considering their performance in this match. The entry of Gabriel Martinelli will provide more benefits for Arsenal because Reis Nelson is not very reliable in my opinion. Liverpool had more difficulty building attacks, without Salah they had too much difficulty finding goals.