Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL!
by
Wind_FURY
on 10/01/2024, 08:55:50 UTC

For plebs like us who don't have millions upon millions in capital, long term/low time preference/HODL is the only way to invest in Bitcoin.
That does not sound right.  DCA works for everyone, whether plebs or not.

In order to prepare for UP, you have to get a stake in the game, and if you have no stake in the game, then you run the risk of FOMOing when the BTC price is going up.. so sometimes a bit of front-load lump summing can be a good thing, and just planning to buy for the next 4-10 years or longer, and reassess at various points along the way.
?
What my post was suggesting/emphasizing was long-term/low-time-preference investing is much better for low capitalized plebs like me than a more active "trading" approach, which opens the pleb to more mistakes, more emotions which also opens him/her to further trading mistakes, and a negative effect on his/her general mental well-being.

Yeah, but you and I already agree (and know) that this thread is not about trading, so there no dispute that selling in order to buy does not tend to be a good technique for anyone except maybe folks who want to learn how to trade and gamble, which results in 90% or more doing worse than if they had just bought BTC on a regular basis rather than screwing around with those kinds of selling techniques.

So then the main questions in front of you and me still revolve around our differences of opinions in regards to what kinds of circumstances might constitute waiting versus just buying right away and regularly... I think that my post largely speaks for itself.. because ongoing buying may well be better than HODL, and even if it is not better, at least it is not "the ONLY way" to invest in bitcoin.


It's merely a matter of personal preference and acting on what you know. Like for example, fundamental analysis tells us that the jobs markets "could come crashing" probably by the second quarter of this year, which indicates a recession which could bring all markets down, including Bitcoin.

- Would you as an investor with limited capital wait, or buy now?

The answer will only depend on you alone.

Quote


For more well-capitalized, sophisticated traders, they could use more approaches to make profit out of the volatility they experience in different markets because they have the liquidity that allows them to use different types of more active trading strategies.


That could be true, but we are not talking about those kinds of distracting techniques in this thread... and yeah, there are all kinds of ways that guys can generate cashflow, and persons with more resources have more ways to generate cashflow, but so what?  It does not matter very much,  because ultimately we are talking about guys having to deal with whatever cash flows that they have and if they have fewer kinds of cashflows then they can try to figure out various ways that they might increase or improve their cashflows, but I still don't see any reason to get distracted into those kinds of topics... because whether you are rich or poor you need to deal with what resources, you have and if you happen to be poor, I see little to no benefit to be whining that others have more resources, unless you might be saying that you cannot buy as much or that you have to try to increase your cashflow or to decrease your expenses, but if you are in a position in which you are not able to do that, then you have to work with what you have.  We probably don't disagree about any of this, even if we might be talking about some of the balances in different ways.  

For sure, you already know that I tend to react to the "us poor people are different" claims... which is an ongoing dispute between us because you say that us poor people" cannot buy regularly, or us poor people set up buy ladders all the way down to $20k or us poor people have to strategize to buy on dips and blah blah blah.. which I think is a bunch of bullshit, because us poor people can build up to certain scenarios to be able to set up sell ladders all the way down and the other various techniques because it would be a matter of how much to set up and what increments and sometimes how long it might take to be able to build up those kinds of reserves, while at the same time balancing how much money is put to work on a regular basis versus how much money might be allowed to stay on the sidelines for buying on dips in ladder kinds of formats in which there may well not be attempts to guess how much of a dip is a dip, but  just to largely have them set up.


Merely pointing out the differences ser. Sometimes the people just post things without context and think that investing with a seven-figure capital is the same as investing as a five-figure one.