Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
Biodom
on 11/01/2024, 22:54:31 UTC
Well, 5% is NOT a drop in the ocean....you remind me of my students who think that 5% of a grade is NOTHING, when it is exactly what it is, 5%.

For fun, there are approximately 2.664X10^25 drops in the ocean (https://www.quora.com/How-many-drops-of-water-make-up-the-sea) while ETFs volume is 5 "drops" in a 100 "drops" (about 5ml or about a teaspoon).

For a supposedly "numbers guy" you threw these comparisons around with a bit too much ease, but don't take it as a criticism..I understand what you meant, emotionally, but let's stick to numbers, OK? Peace.

Seriously?! It's a phrase that means "insignificant" as opposed to literally a drop in an ocean, which would be miniscual, quite obviously as it's a metaphor that's not meant literally. Maybe this is a British phrase or something? Can't believe I feel the need to have to do this for something so trivial, but here are dictionary definitions of the phrase for you (spoiler; it has nothing to do 2.664X10^25 drops):

Quote from: Collins Dictionary
If you say that something is a drop in the ocean, you mean that it is a very small amount which is unimportant compared to the cost of other things or is so small that it has very little effect on something.

Quote from: Merriam-webster
an amount that is so small that it does not make an important difference or have much effect

So yes, when we are talking about 5% of volume, I consider it a very small amount. Others may just consider it a small amount, but I'd consider it very small. To me it's the equivalent of a strong wind when driving down the highway/motorway at 70mph/110kmh (en/us context). It's not enough to take you of course 99% of the time, as it's only about 5% of the force in play, but it does mean you have to adjust for it; that analogy you're welcome to take literally. My point was more to whoever said that Bitcoin had "become TradFi". Whereas actually it's 95% not TradFi, and won't be, until ETF volume is at least 51%.

If i had a "drop in the ocean" 5% of all bitcoins or even 5% of today's $ flow from just ETFs or bitcoin, it would not be something insignificant:

5% of all btc-1.05 mil btc or $48.3 bil $$
5% of all bitcoin flow today was $ 3.6 bil (before, now it is an even higher number of ~7%)

Is this nothing for you?
Gee, man, for myself, those numbers are significant.
I am not even sure what is the point of this non-quantitative conversation....maybe i just don't want to call something that has some value to be called insignificant.