at the moment it looks like Man City and Real Madrid won't be able to reach the final round too easily because currently there are 2 teams that will also be strong challengers such as Inter and Bayern Munich which currently look very strong but for me Inter is not that strong but Munich looks like it very convincing to prevent Madrid and Man City from winning the title in the UCL.
Kane is still Tuchel mainstay and as long as there is this player Bayern Munich in the UCL will continue to fight to qualify until the final round but I am sure Real Madrid will break Bayern Munich strength.
I think the final match will be Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich. City is indeed very strong in the Champions League and they are also the defending champions. De Bruyne's injury had a big impact on City's game and we know last season they won the treble with a big role from KDB and Haaland. So I favor Madrid vs Munich which will be the final match. I put City in third place and Barcelona in fourth place. I think everyone should not forget Barcelona because they are also one of the strong teams in the Champions League even though their current performance does not make them one of the favorites to win this season.
Ideally, the UCL Final match would bring together two favorite clubs with equal strength, such as Madrid, Bayern, City or Inter. The reason I included Inter was because of the runnerup factor last season, the rest I saw that Inzaghi performance and his fleet were still very stable this season. It does not rule out the possibility that these four teams will be eliminated early, even though we know their chances are very high when they face their opponents in each match. On the other hand, we cannot underestimate the other contestants, because they are also ambitious to go further and take advantage of the opportunities available.
Overall, general factors such as injuries to key players, busy match schedules and fatigue will greatly influence the team chances of realizing their dream of winning a trophy. Barcelona, PSG, Arsenal and Dortmund are the teams that I think will advance to the quarter finals, where they will have the opportunity to be opponents of the favorite teams that I mentioned earlier. Considering that the new match will start in mid February, we still need to wait and assess their current performance by referring to domestic competitions as a reference.
It could be that Barcelona will show a different performance in the UCL compared to La Liga, and that must be shown by beating Napoli first in the round of 16. I think Xavi can bring Barcelona through to the semifinals, considering their reputation and mentality in the UCL, Barcelona should be atrying to improve its performance to become the favorite team in the future.