Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: Bitcoin puzzle transaction ~32 BTC prize to who solves it
by
AlanJohnson
on 20/01/2024, 08:29:33 UTC
Hello. If search key range for a key by different search methods simultaneously is it will change probability theory expected value? Thanks.

If you are using different search methods to find a key within a certain range, the probability distribution of the outcome may change based on the efficiency and characteristics of each search method. In practice, using multiple search methods may increase the chances of finding the key, but it doesn't change the fundamental concepts of probability theory.

This is more like poker game here . In poker, players make decisions based on their assessment of the probabilities of different outcomes. They consider factors like the cards they hold, the community cards on the table, and the potential actions of their opponents.

In any case, it is a gamble if you want to invest a large amount of resources to solve the puzzle. Grin

In gambling you can be just lucky ... this shit is something far worse. People don't realize how low is the chance to "win" here. 

You  can be lucky and win buying a lucky lottery ticket  but here you are dealing with something like: "is it possible to when you go out you accidentally meet Elon Musk that will offer you a job as his assistant but then he will die in a heart attack an hour later and when you realize it the plane will crash right on your head ?"   Yes, theoretically it is possible ..but will that happen ?