Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024
by
marcous
on 22/01/2024, 15:04:19 UTC
Expecting a battle between Brighton and Wolves tonight... This match is very important for both clubs... I can't say who is the favourite in this match, but the bookies think it's Brighton... Although it seems to me that Wolves are playing just as well at the moment... I think that the bet that both teams will score should work...
It seems that I have a different opinion if Wolves will have difficulty scoring in this away match but I am sure that Brighton will have a chance of winning in this match. We can see their previous performance. Brighton was able to beat Tottenham when playing at home and was able to hold a draw when playing away against West Ham.
Meanwhile, even though Wolves were able to get 3 consecutive wins, when they played away against WestHam they failed to get a win and were even unable to hold a draw without scoring.
It is too risky to choose to bet on BTTS but I respect your predictions and I choose to bet on Brighton who will be the winner in this match.

Odds @1.63 for Brighton and @5 for Wolves and for me this is quite fair because the bookmaker definitely knows better which club will win and getting @1.63 is quite big for me.
Your bet on Brighton winning is very much in line with what I think and here too I am betting on Brighton winning. There is no strong reason why I am very confident in betting on Brighton because this team will definitely win even though Wolves will put up fierce resistance. Moreover, playing in front of fans will make Brighton more confident in securing full points at home.

Wolves do have an interesting record but I'm not sure they will be able to overthrow Brighton and actually BTTS betting is quite reliable but the success rate is quite doubtful in my opinion. What is clear is that any victory for Brighton will be very meaningful for the stability of their performance which has been lost and if they win, of course Brighton will shift Manchester United's position in the standings.
On paper, Brighton deserves to be superior to Wolves, because statistically De Zerbi fleet has a better reputation. However, it is true that this match needs to be avoided, because the strengths of the two are now almost equal, and if you want to bet it requires more consideration. In H2H terms, in the last five meetings between the two, Brighton recorded 4 wins and one loss, including in the first half of the last season Brighton managed to beat Wolves with a score of 4-1. However, in the course of the season, the performance of De Zerbi squad experienced a bit of a shock, so it is very natural that we now doubt them to secure the three points. From a feeling I have a tendency that Brighton will win the match, but who knows, Wolves will have luck like when they beat Man City.

If we look at the interests and ambitions of both of them, Brighton now really hopes to get an additional 3 points, which will make them move up to seventh place in the standings and overtake one of the most elite EPL clubs, namely Man United. Meanwhile, Wolves will have the ambition to penetrate the top 10 of the standings and overtake Newcastle, a background which in my opinion makes the match very intense. I think EPL matches that bring together mid table teams are more interesting and usually stimulate more adrenaline, because usually both teams will play an aggressive and open game. However, as said at the beginning, betting on this match requires careful consideration.

We know that the match between Brighton and Wolves is the closing match of Week 21 of the EPL, where there are 17 remaining matches in the second half of the season, except for Man City and Brentford. Liverpool is currently comfortably leading the standings with a difference of 5 points, but we know that City still has one match postponed, and has the opportunity to cut the gap to 2 points. On the other hand, we can see how fierce the other three teams in the UCL zone are, they have collected the same number of points, namely 43. I think in the future, with so many matches remaining, it will be possible for a team like Tottenham to overtake their position, or in other words, the top 5 positions in the standings it's not completely safe before the points gap is wide. Brighton has the opportunity to break into the Europa League zone, but they have to start by beating Wolves in a few moments.