
What do you guys think? What are my chances, considering that BTC is UP again? Honestly, I'd rather lose my bets but saw that BTC was going up and up.

You do have a very little chance there to win your second bets. But I have no chance to win my bets as I had expected a better price of Bitcoin at the end of this month. Bitcoin price needs to be increased at least 15% from it's current position to reach above $50k. There is no possibilities to happen this within this month.
