Therefore anyone who is suggesting that we need BIGGER blocks right now needs to provide such evidence and logic to such an extent that it is convincing others that such a change is justified.
Pretty simple, let's assume 10% of the world population wants to use Bitcoin (not just own IOU on an exchange) , each gets his coins and opens a LN.
How long will that take at current block size?

I frequently question whenever anyone starts out a claim with "pretty simple." hahahahaha
Yeah it's pretty simply
You have 10 percent of the worlds population a fixed number
You have one output to get them their coins to their wallet, let's batch those tx in 1 inputs 100 output for convenience, fixed numbers.
Then you have each of this guy from the 10% of the world population opening a channel.
You calculate the size of that you divide by 144 blocks a day and simple as this> (p*u/s)s+y/f+r-(e^e) you have the answer!

It's not complicated at all, a few years more or less years ! Now if you would want them in this decade to close and again open one channel and do like 2-3
not micro transactions things go blurry, as in we'll be all dead by then.

Or, or....we could use doge which has no problem with this numbers:
Bitcoin Transactions last 24h 472,460 Avg. Transaction Fee 0.00015 BTC ($6.59)
Doge Transactions last 24h 1,745,736 Avg. Transaction Fee 0.069 DOGE ($0.0055)
I really wonder what magic they use for this
But anyhow, I doubt it's something simple as having a larger capacity that could be achieved with 8Mb blocks or something!
Now to the good news:
We had 30 extra blocks in the last 24 hours.
The previous difficulty adjustment was 7.35%, again an insane increase in the number of transactions confirmed in 24 hours than normal.