It's all speculation, but this picture shows a situation that keeps repeating itself. No one can know if it will be right or wrong in the next prediction. But most of the time it repeats itself and I'm sure all crypto investors believe in this kind of situation. This condition seems to be a patern that has been agreed upon by everyone in crypto. So speculation and prediction are the same only we can minimize investment losses. But remember 'there is a Whale that can always ruin prediction in normal conditions". The author should be able to understand market conditions by looking at this picture.