Sounds a bit reckless to be using retirement funds as your "emergency funds."


The essence of the matter is that we have been in a bull trend since November 2022 - at least that was the bottom, but we might not have had realized it until around March of 2023 when BTC price went from the mid $20ks to the lower $30ks but still failed/refused to break above $32k until October 2023.. so it cannot always be easy to call or to know.. and so bull trend versus bull market can be a bit ambiguous both in terms of if we are in it and when it might have had started.

How far it is going to take us, and when it might end may well be additional questions that are not easy to figure out.. even though right now we should be able to identify quite strong UPpity BTC price pressures, even if there are potentially various sticky resistance points along the way and even if we might experience some decently large corrections at various points.. and so even since October, we have only had around 3 corrections that were more 10%.. and a couple of them just barely with only one correction taking us 21%.. so seems a lot of UPpity.. even though there have been various pauses in the UPpity... but so far not giving too many opportunties to buy back. .which also might end up causing us to be able to go through noman's zone.. though I am still a bit nervous if we were to get into noman's zone now in terms of being able to completely make it through within 2-6 weeks, which surely would end up being fairly rapidly with any of those kinds of scenarios. .. .but not completely out of the question.. and difficult to really place time and price on something like that... even though the UPpity pressure seems to be ongoing.


How can guys, like uie pooie, express so much confidence. and maybe I am not quite at 60/40 in terms of my thought so Up versus down.. maybe 57% $43... .. .. but then if we are still in the don't wake me up zone,^** then why do I even care until if we were to get above $55k, then that would constitute UP... .. so I would not really be counting $53k or $54k as up, even though technically they would be UP, and probably I would not even count $55k as up, either unless the BTC price kept going UPpity and kind of gets caught above that price point.


** by the way, I think that I have to officially move the bottom of don't wake me up zone from $35k and up to $38k. maybe even $40k, even though I am a bit hesitant to come right out and say $40k.. especially since I hate getting overly excited and then being called names (such as an irrational bulltard.. even if it might be true).