Competing for the semifinals or finals is very difficult for Bayern Munich this season considering their current unstable condition. Many doubt their performance after the poor results they had previously and perhaps the Champions League quarterfinals will be their last. Although there is little doubt about their chances of winning the second leg against Lazio, it could be realized as long as they know the reasons for losing in the first leg against Lazio.
Now they are in difficult times and they must be able to make good use of every opportunity to be able to reverse the aggregate position in the second leg. As hosts, Bayern Munich should not lose because after all the fans' support will be much more meaningful than before. Lazio's defense, which is known to be very strong, should be able to weaken if they are under pressure in away games and that could be a golden opportunity that Bayern Munich can rely on.
Bayern Munich won't think for the final round, they must focus on the current round. It won't be easy to qualify for the next round because they are now behind by an aggregate of 1 goal. If they want to qualify for the next round, they must win with 2 goals at least in the Leg 2. They must keep their defense with no conceded goal, Tuchel must select the best defenders for the next match.
In the last match, they didn't play so badly. They still dominated the ball possessions and made more shots. Unfortunately, Bayern players have very bad accuracy in shooting. They have 0 shot on target, it is something very strange. I think Bayern players must play more aggressive and use more offensive tactic in the next match, so they can make more shoot attempts.
Lazio has a good defense. But Bayern must have a bigger motivation to win in the next match because it will be a home match. I still expect Bayern Munich to qualify foe the next round.