Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24
by
X-ray
on 27/02/2024, 23:54:13 UTC
Yeah it's almost certain that Real Madrid will win the title because we didn't find any scenario that would prevent Real Madrid from collecting points, how do we expect Real Madrid to lose in the next 3 matches meanwhile, so far Real Madrid has only lost once in 26 matches. Barcelona is just fighting for 2nd place and they need 3 points to get rid of Girona. Previously I wasn't sure Barcelona could reach the top 2 but luck was on their side when Girona as the main competitor got bad results and Girona missed 8 points 2 lost 1 draw. In 4th place is Atletico Madrid and Athletic club continues to approach them with only 3 points adrift therefore Atletico Madrid must be more careful if they want to stay in the top 4
The journey of this match is still quite far, and there is still potential for Girona to take the top position because the difference in points between Girona and Real Madrid is still very small. In contrast, when Real Madrid's points are more than 20 points ahead, it is certain that Real Madrid will win this season.

Girona had lose their chances to win the league the day they lose heavily to Real Madrid. Madrid really shown them that day that they aren't mate. Real Madrid has already won this league title.

Totally wrong, have you done a proper calculation here? Im considering that now girona has 6 points gap to the real madrid and i expect a small chance is still there for girona to surpass madrid. Did you remember the story about manchester city which was surpassing arsenal in short time? That story can also happen in la liga too.
Assuming there are still 12 matches day remaining at this time and it will be 12x3 = 36 potential points that can still be farmed for whole of la liga clubs. So, expecting real madrid to lose two matches in a row and it's still possible.

Girona needs only to see madrid missing 2 matches which means only 16.6666% from the total match available till the end of season. The chance is still big enough for girona and madrid is under pressure caused by missing three points will make madrid close to the losing la liga title.
The competition is just getting even more difficult for madrid with hard fixtures have been awaiting for this club at the end of season. Girona will have easier fixtures compared to the real madrid. The chance is still there for girona to get la liga.

Girona shall not bottle the next game. Girona will have lesser chance if it will miss three points.