Girona has 3 easy games ahead - Mallorca, Osasuna, Getafe. I can assume that they will score 7-9 points here and thus practically guarantee themselves a place in the top 4. It turns out that 29 games out of 38 will have already been played and the likelihood that 3 teams at once will be able to overtake them will become even less than now.
As for the Athletic - Barcelona game, this will be the last chance for Athletic to enter the fight for the top 4, so they will try their best. Considering that Barcelona is playing poorly, I think that a double chance bet on Athletic looks attractive.
Girona's chances of finishing in the top 4 are quite big and in fact I am quite confident that they will be able to finish in 2nd place in the final La LIga standings because after seeing the Girona team's fairly consistent performance so far, they will be highly favored.
Competing for the title is quite difficult simply because Real Madrid has a strength that is far above them so it is not worth the competition.
I don't think that Barcelona is underperforming, on the contrary,
Barcelona is currently in top performance and Atletico Bilbao is experiencing a slight decline in quality/performance.
I think Bilbao's percentage of getting into the top 4 is quite small after they lost against Betis last weekend.
I wonder where this conclusion comes from? Based on one game with Getafe? I wonder where this conclusion comes from? Based on one game with Getafe? Most recently there were games with Granada, Villarreal and Athletic in which Barcelona scored 1 point and conceded 12 (lol!) goals. I don't think anything has changed in their play since those games, it's just that sometimes the randomness works in your favor and sometimes against you. On average, Barcelona is as weak as it was.