...
JJG, #661544 just above
Yikes! My planning is much more basic than the work you've done in your referenced thread. Yet the way I sold in prior spikes (small frequent slices as the bull markets were in full swing and soon after the ATHs) was similar enough (though unstructured) to your spreadsheet suggestions. I do not plan in such detail for a few reasons:
1) at this point in my retired life I tire of spreadsheets
2) things change so fast that I will make decisions, sometimes, on the fly
3) I have never had enough BTC to attain one of your FU status amounts, but that's fine with me as my wife and I are retired OK, you may remember me re 1% - 2% of net...
4) my sales-in-slices strategy worked well in 2017 and (especially) 2021
5) I might not have the discipline to follow a plan...
I certainly concede that my somewhat relative success has been in at least part due to luck. But, as I considered in the past with my own views of probabilities of price movements both uppity and downnity and our financial situation and rather plebian knowledge of Bitcoinistan, I was just fine with the gains I made. Which have not been game-changers, but that's OK. Especially 2021...
My game plan is likely to be "rather 2021-ish." Sell off small slices every once in a while, maybe once or twice a week, once we reach some $80k. In 2021, I started selling at $30k, and sold off slices throughout the double spike. I then started buying again at some $40k - $45K (too soon, oops). My last purchase was just this Monday, I haven't made up my mind when I'll buy again. My buying more-or-less conforms to the spirit of DCA even if sloppier, but, hey it works without overly taxing my brain.