Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024
by
Mayor of ogba
on 01/03/2024, 03:52:14 UTC
Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool
Man City vs Man Utd
Sheff Utd vs Arsenal

Will any of the 3 title challengers drop points this weekend?

Unlikely but this is the PL, nothing is too predictable.

If the chances for win are accurate (from the Premier League on Google), which are as follows for each of the three:

Liverpool: 63%
Man City: 77%
Arsenal: 83%

Then it's actually more likely than not, that at least one of these three won't win their game (around 60% probability).
Of course, it's hard to put an accurate number on sports events, it's all just estimates mostly based on previous results.
I'm not surprised to see Arsenal have the highest percentage of winning the Premier League title this season because I have already said that Arsenal would end up winning the Premier League title if they could top the Premier League table again. Arsenal is in amazing form in the Premier League, and they can win any club they play against in the league now.
I think that's unreasonable, in fact between Liverpool and Manchester City I think that Arsenal's percentage is smaller to win the Premier League this season because if we look at what happened in the previous season the Arsenal team didn't have a strong mentality to win crucial matches, so this season it will be like that too.

Meanwhile, Liverpool and Manchester City, who have everything possible, will compete fiercely in the remaining matches this season, I don't mean to exclude Arsenal, but I think Liverpool and Manchester City are much more worthy, they have everything, team strength, consistency and also a very strong team mentality.
We should not use Arsenal's past mistake of missing out on winning the Premier League trophy last season to judge them that they will not win the Premier League trophy this season, even though there is a chance of Arsenal winning it. Arsenal is consistent this season, and they are two points behind Liverpool. Arsenal has what it takes to win the Premier League trophy this season.