Today i decided to try one of my sweet predictions in the EPL games. So, i predicted in 4 matches and placed my net. However, during this time i watched my games played so well but two games were holding it and i felt i would lose this game. It was already 83 minutes and i needed these games to play at 87 minutes i gave up and decided to cashout the amount i used to stake since it was the amount that was showing there. I thought it was clear and instead of losing i should rather just get my money back. Just in 15 minutes after i checked the live score and found out that the game played. I felt so angry and unhappy because i have not trusted my instincts if not i wouldn't have cashed out at that time.
The reality is that most people won't stand a chance, instincts or not, against the vast data analysis that is performed and applied by all the biggest bookmakers out there. Sure, you will get lucky on occasion and beat the odds, but these bookmakers are winning on the long term because they've got this "brain power" processing their odds. In this scenario your instincts were overwhelmingly telling you to cash out, which put it at direct odds with your original instinct of how it would play out, so you wouldn't know which instinct to follow in the scenario given.