Bologna vs Inter is the most important match for me today... Bologna are in fourth place in the standings for a reason... But Inter also have the lead with a huge gap... Inter have a return game against Atletico in the Champions League soon, so I wouldn't be surprised if there is a draw today, but I think both teams will score...
I agree with you that Inter Milan may likely draw against Bologna because they will want to rest some of their important players to be fully ready to play with Athletico Madrid in the Uefa Champions League last 16 matches. Even though Inter Milan loses to Bologna, they will still be leading Juventus by 12 points at the top of the Serie A table.
Even though Inter lost by Bologna, of course it will not change Inter position at the top of the Serie A standings, but yes, if Inter still prioritizes prestige then Inter will also continue to play well so as not to be beaten by Bologna in this match. But yes, if Inter really puts their focus on the second leg against Ateltico then of course Inter will not play optimally in this match, of course to keep their squad in top condition and to avoid injuries. So indeed, with these considerations in mind, I also don't think Inter will win because it could be that Bologna still has to strengthen its position in the top four, so Bologna will take advantage of this home match to still get a good result to win or just draw. But indeed, at least two goals or maybe three goals can still occur in this match.