Luck, this cannot be analyzed, whatever method you choose, this cannot be analyzed even with mathematics (IMO). Personally, I won't be able to say how luck works itself. Even in life outside of gambling, we often experience luck without knowing the exact time. It's the same as gambling, when you think a weak team can win a big team, and you bet on the weak team and it turns out to win, that is part of luck. Or, when you bet $0.2 to win $2,000, maybe you wouldn't think it was possible, that's also luck. Can you analyze the win? Of course it won't be possible.
It is the absence of mathematics that attracts many players who want to have equal chances with those who have been playing for a long time. These incredible moments of winning by newcomers and the phrases that beginners are always lucky create an illusion, which is why there is a constant influx of new players.
Generally speaking, I think that luck comes from the coincidence of many different factors and is the result of this. Like, for example, a goalkeeper who slipped and our team scored a goal against him, or the wind blowing in the right direction. There are a lot of them, and the main thing is that we cannot take these factors into account. This is what luck is in my opinion, no mathematical calculations can influence it, except in a very minimal way.