Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL!
by
JayJuanGee
on 13/03/2024, 23:14:20 UTC
[edited out]
Emergency funds are not for buying BTC.. it is to use in case your income dries up or your expenses increase to higher than your income.. so that you do not have to sell any of your BTC...

You can hold money in reserves for buying BTC on dips and also for buying when your income fluctuates.  There are a lot of strategies to structure these kinds of matters, yet usually the better of strategies is to ongoingly buy BTC on a regular basis using DCA, and yeah you can supplement your strategy with the other techniques, but you might not want to overly think the matter, especially if you are in your early stages of BTC accumulation, you likely should just be regularly accumulating, but you still have to figure for yourself how much of a budget you can make for regular buying and if you want to hold some of your money in reserves for buying on dips.
This is damn impacting , breaking down in a way even some one new to this space would get it once . Now those that normally mistake emergency funds for reserve would get the difference now. Where most people missed it is that whenever there's decrease in price one would take as an opportunity of using lump-sum strategy to buy the dip using their emergency funds instead of having a reserve funds for such occasion. Which may lead to one not able to meetup with his expenses and endup developing the habit of tampering with their investment, I've already Started reserving some funds already, but I always make my emergency funds more without letting it affect my DCAing .
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It seems to me that some of the members are handling their extra funds in the right kinds of ways, but sometimes we are mixing up the categories and then maybe arguing semantics (which are just the meanings of different words), yet some other times, members seem to have no sense in regards to how much of a cash cushion that they might need to have if they start spending from their extra cash, and if they end up experiencing some kind of emergency, then they end up in more trouble because they end up having to treat their bitcoin as an emergency fund, which surely should be what anyone investing should be trying to avoid.

If we build up our investment in bitcoin, then we have more of a responsibility to have organized finances (and psychology too) that will prevent us from ever having to cash into our bitcoin unless it was on conditions that we had already established for ourselves, and if we are a new investor, it is more likely that we would be waiting many years.. maybe even 4-10 years or longer, just to build up our BTC funds before we might start to consider strategies that might involve selling some of our BTC.

So, yeah there are different kinds of classifications of funds, but then there are also differing ways that we might be triggered to buy bitcoin, whether it is a regular DCA, or buying on dip or lump sum... .. and lump sum and buying on the dip are not necessarily the same thing... I don't even necessarily recommend that newer BTC accumulators hold back large amounts to buy on dips, but instead maybe they have some money that is set aside for various price points, such as if you have $2k in reserves then maybe you would have $100 for every $1,500 that the BTC price drops which would be 20 BTC buy orders all the way down to $38k or something like that... .. so yeah you don''t know that if the BTC price is going to dip but you have some money available to buy at various stages if it were to dip... .. but then maybe it does not make any sense to hold back that much money for buying on dips, especially for a relatively new bitcoin investor..

So let's say that a guy had already been buying $100 per week of BTC pretty regularly for more than a year (since the beginning of 2023) and he had invested $6,300 and accumulated right around 0.21 BTC so far, and he is not in a bad place right now, but he still feels like he has not accumulated enough BTC, so he continues to buy $100 per week of BTC, and that pretty much is a high  portion of his extra income.

Yet, for some reason.. out of the blue, he receives a payment of $2,400 extra that he was not expecting, and so maybe other parts of his financial life is already sufficiently in order, he has around 4 months of an emergency fund and he has some reserves already in place for buying on dips, so then he has to decide what is he going to do with that extra $2,400 that is in his budget?  He could decide to front load invest 66% of it (around $1,584) into bitcoin, and then add the other 33% ($816) towards buying on dips and/or DCA..... or maybe he just decides to divide it up 50%/50%.. or maybe he decides to just put 1/3 in each of the categories since he is not as convinced that the BTC price is going to go up from here.. so sometimes those decisions are made partially based on which way a guy thinks the BTC price is more likely to go and/or if he feels that he already is sufficiently prepared for buying on dips or if he believes that he is lacking in one area or another.. he has to weigh what the impact of his decision on the remainder of his balances.. which surely we would think he wants to be somewhat aggressive in his bitcoin accumulation without overdoing it.. yet at the same time, there is no perfectly correct answer about what he should do and align the balances of his funds. 

Lump summing right away would be front-loading the investment, and saving it without investing (and maybe preparing for a dip) would be lump summing on dips, but again, I personally tend to think that it is better to spread out your buying on dip purchases, but if you are more bearish than me then maybe you spread those buy orders to lower amounts and hope that you are not left holding a bunch of fiat that you could have had otherwise bought bitcoin with.. again, there is no perfect answer.