This season Barcelona suffered three defeats and what is interesting about that fact is that all the defeats occurred in home matches so I quite agree that it is very likely that this match will end in a draw although it does not rule out the possibility that Barcelona will win it, because the home team winning looks quite difficult to happen.
In their last four meetings, Barcelona has been more successful than Atletico Madrid because Barca can win home and away matches, both teams are in good momentum because of their success in the UCL match, but fatigue could hit them because the midweek match is quite emotionally draining, especially for Atletico Madrid because had to play a tiring match against Inter Milan which had to be resolved through a penalty shootout.
And even though Atletico Madrid could be shifted from its position in the top four by Athletic due to the narrow margin, Atletico remains the favorite team to finish this season by getting a position in the top four, I'm quite sure of this because Athletic will face a tough match against Real Madrid at the beginning of April which could cause them to lose points.
Barcelona is yet to recover from fatigues and stress which they have suffered in the Champions League. But it would be so painful if at the end of all this competition they are participating they end up not wining any trophy. Watching Atletico Madrid played yesterday with a stunning performance i don't see any big deal that they won't win Barcelona at home this week. These guys are fast, strong and with good field positioning.
The performance percentage rate of wining in both teams are equal. Just a reminder, in the last five meetings Barca has been more successful with two draws and two wins while Athletico Madrid had 3 wins and two losses. Although the match is between the two teams and only the best would win. Barca on the other hand has been luckier to had played with smaller things a lot that is why they are above Athletico Madrid in the league table. Soon we will see a shift in the positions after this week game. If Athletico Madrid will be taking the position of Barca or they will be in the 5th postion.