Sinner might be the bookies slight favorite but then I really wouldn’t consider him that against the Alcaraz I watched against Zverev to be honest, Sinner might have won the 2 of their last 3 meetings, but the last the Alcaraz defeated Sinner was at Indian Wells last year, so you should sign up for expecting some Deja Vu stuff there, should be an electrifying match though.
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In this game between Alcaraz and Sinner I am a bit tempted to go with an over 22.5 games bet. I don't think it would be a straight 2 sets game ending with a landslide victory. I think it is quite likely that this could end with 3 sets and if it doesn't, I think there would be a tie break and another relatively close set. Any input from the pros here?

Alcaraz has had some inconsistencies in his game recently. He had this one phase a whole ago when I thought he is the next Djokovic and will be invincible for years. But then he had some issues with his game here and there. He is of course still a favorite in almost every game, no doubt about that, but Sinner has played some impressive matches. Might have been the breakthrough mentally for him. He won the Australian Open, then won Rotterdam. He is grinding at the moment! No set lost so far at Indian Wells.