I understand your point but it's just seem that everyone is now used to Manchester city winning even when they are way back and thats the consideration is slightly more favourable to city than arsenal or Liverpool and besides Manchester city have already collected the trophy from behind from the hands of almost all the big boys in the premier league, I mean they first did it against Manchester united then Liverpool and also arsenal so it's no new thing for them.
People always assume Man City will win the competition because Man City has a great squad. They have best coach (Guardiola) and they have best player (Haaland) there. Although Man City ever dropped their position on the table and missed some points, people still assume Man City will be the candidate of the champion. For this reason, I can understand people's assumption.
However, this season isn't the same as the previous season. If we consider the remaining matches of 3 candidates of the champion, Liverpool seems to have the advantage. Man City and Arsenal have harder remaining matches because they still have some big matches. They will also still fight one another in matchday 30, so there is a big chance for missing points in the next few matches.