Honestly we could be anywhere from Belief to Complacency ...
You mean the top might be already in?

Puh-leeze, geddaddaaheeeeya...

I'm not saying either that I think it is or that I want it to be, merely that it
could be ...
We seem to be exploring new ground this cycle ... with a new high before the halving, etc. ... one should be prepared for all eventualities. However, as I have said before its very hard to extrapolate with any sort of accuracy from a small number of data points.