Post
Topic
Board Economics
Re: China India tensions on impact to Global economy possible china India war
by
pooya87
on 21/03/2024, 14:47:10 UTC
An armed conflict between India and China is unlikely and I'll give you 3 reasons for it:
1. The "disagreements" between the two countries have existed for a long time (like about certain areas between the two countries and borders, etc.) and it has never led to any major conflicts. In other words India has a much higher chance of going to war with Pakistan than with China.
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Dear if India starts a war with Pakistan what do you think what will happen? If this happens china will probably be involved in this war from the side of Pakistan. Pakistan has a strong relationship with China and China has invested a lot of money in Pakistan. their biggest Project in Pakistan Is "CPEC" If this project successfully completed both countries will have a lot of advantages of it. China Shipping Costs will be reduced because of this project they will not have to travel a big giant sea for their importing their country needs CPEC will help them all that way to reduce that cost.

Some Days ago, I was listening to a piece of news that mentioned that now these days India is bothering the project and does not want the completion of this project. Actually, the thing is that we Pakistan and Indian people like each other and respect each other as well but the negative thing is that the border army, government, and social media play their bad role in spreading negativity to increase the conflicts between these two countries (Pakistan & India)
That's true. I was just trying to compare the nature of tensions between these duos.
As for China, from what I've seen they've always strived to prevent any kind of conflict specially in countries close to them or in countries they have a major interest in. This means they will continue trying to both avoid and prevent armed conflicts between China and India or India and Pakistan. After all they need stability to expand their economy.

russia seen eastern ukraine as the safety barrier to keep nato away from russia's borders.

its why russia wanted to take that eastern region and declare it an independent state (no mans land) to keep that buffer space to keep nato/EU at arms length so that russia does not need to defend it endlessly forever
That's one of the smaller reasons since the annexed regions are also considered "Russian borders" now (95% of them voted for Putin in the recent election in Russia).
The major reason is for Russia to dominate the Black Sea considering that for such a massive country Russia had a very little sea shore and control in the Black Sea before 2014. Also if you look at the annexed parts on the map, these regions are more of South and South East rather than being Eastern Ukraine. Russia still shares a lot of border with other Ukrainian provinces in East and North Eastern Ukraine, I marked that huge border with red in the picture below and the new borders with the "buffer space" in green. You can clearly see the difference this way.


By taking Crimea they choked Ukraine in Sea of Azov and increased their dominance in the Black Sea. By taking more land in South and South East (basically everything below Dnipero River) they cut 90% of Ukraine's access to the Black Sea and increased their own dominance.
These regions also included major industries, infrastructures, farms and water sources of Ukraine that now belong to Russia.