~Snip
I did not see Arsenal successfully defeated Man City with that score and maybe you were wrong to see. The last time the two met in the English League Arsenal won the match with 1-0 at their own home and at the Community Shield Cup they drew. This season both of them only met twice so that Man City was still enough to be favored to win the match. Of course the match will change where the two coaches will study the strategies with each other, both Arsenal and Man City need a victory in the match because they will open the way to win the league.
In all cases Man City is far more favored to come out as champions, because they are far more potential to win matches at home, Arteta has the opportunity to hold Pep Guardiola's draw but the opportunity is still quite small. Now the condition of Man City players is almost fully fit so that their strength will be much stronger, different like matches that take place at home to Arsenal because Man City is not strengthened by creative midfielders like De Bruyne.
This season, Arsenal managed to win their home game 1-0 against Manchester City, but Arsenal will probably lose their away game against Manchester City. I've seen Manchester City tend to beat Arsenal in most seasons at home, so I don't think Arsenal have much of a chance of breaking that record this season especially for Premier League games.
The probability of Manchester City winning is very high, while the bookie will probably place them as favorites. The low odds displayed are proof that Manchester City are favorites in their home match, even if the results of the matches are different. There are always risks to consider, including Manchester City losing or the two drawing, but I tend to think Pep Guardiola will once again defend his home record against Arsenal.