I can't go with the prediction you made. The candle that made Bitcoin rise is not the same as in previous years. However, the way Bitcoin has been growing this season, it seems that Bitcoin will not go below $50,000 before and after the halving. When Bitcoin dropped from $74k to below $60k I didn't feel upset because I thought Bitcoin would only go to $50k but the market bounced back to $68k. If the market goes up from here I think Bitcoin could go to $80k before the halving. But if you want to invest in bitcoins hoping for your predictions then I think you may not be successful in investing.