Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season
by
KTChampions
on 24/03/2024, 15:47:51 UTC
I have had a look and I couldn't believe that the bookmakers seem to have big faith in Arsenal and valued them as the real favorite. To give you an idea, they put Arsenal at 1.99, so let's say at 2.0, and they put Bayern Munich at 3.59.

I agree that the odds for Bayern Munich winning this game should be relatively high as it is a game away from home and it is against the team that is leading the Premier League. But given how the game developed recently for Bayern, do you think that Arsenal winning the game at 1.99 is correctly marked by the bookmakers? Even if it is marginal, it is a bit below 2.0 and I did expect something with a 2. coming first.

I don't think that Arsenal's chances of winning that game are that high. At least I wouldn't bet on it at those odds. I think it is always a good indicator to think about potential odds that someone would be willing to put money on an outcome and for me this would be more between 2.5 and 3.0, but it would definitely not be worth it when you get just under 2.0.

I don't understand why you are surprised. Do you think that the leader of the Premier League cannot win at least one home game out of two against the second Bundesliga team (current quotes suggest exactly this)?
Does the fact that Bayern in recent games have heavily beaten the outsiders of the Bundesliga and the 9th team in Serie A (Lazio) somehow change the fact that Bayern has been playing very weakly all season? Compared to Arsenal, which has been going smoothly all season, Bayern is truly an outsider.