Based on the percentage, Manchester City has a better chance of securing full points, because the match will be held at the Etihad stadium. However, Arsenal cannot be underestimated, their strength and consistency have now improved significantly from the previous season. Considering that in the first half of the season, Arsenal was also able to beat Manchester City with a score of 1-0, so Pep Guardiola should give all his attention to the next match. Even though it cannot be used as a complete benchmark, this match will really determine their fate in the future.
Yeah right now Arsenal are a bit unpredictable and we can call it an on fire team, since Arsenal beat Liverpool on February 4 then Arsenal played very aggressively and imagine that in the last 5 matches Arsenal have scored 23 goals in the Premier League this is an amazing record. I also imagine if Arsenal is consistent with positive results like this so against Manchester City it's not a big problem, let's just wait and see how this big match ends.
By the way, what do you think about Manchester United who are trying to get tickets to the Europa League, will Man United get it? currently they are 6 points behind main competitor Tottenham meaning Manchester United needs 2 wins to equal points, the problem is that based on the match schedule, Manchester United will face several strong teams towards the end of the season, there are even 5 big matches ahead meaning Man United has the potential to lose more points.