Overall, AC Milan has a better chance of securing 3 points even though they are playing away, it would be a big surprise if Fiorentina were able to beat AC Milan. Statistically, the reputation of Pioli squad is certainly better in Serie A, and the depth of AC Milan squad is also much better. I agree with you, the result of the match seems likely to be a draw. Currently, Fiorentina is very ambitious to finish in the European zone, but they do not have the strength to surpass AC Milan, so the best result that Fiorentina can possibly achieve is a draw, which sounds fair for both teams.
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Fiorentina has a good record when playing at home but this time they didn't have any targets so I agree with you that AC Milan might win moreover AC Milan has the ambition to secure their position in 2nd place. But yeah, we also can't underestimate Fiorentina, they could make a surprise because they are playing at home