...
Yes, it is obvious that for Real to reach the final they need to win against City + Bayern/Arsenal. Individually, these tasks are quite realistic, but collectively the chance is reduced. I think that the overall probability of this is approximately 30% (by the way, the same as for the other teams from this thread towards the finals).
13-14 and 15-16 - those were good times, the two best teams from Madrid found out who is the strongest club in Europe (and the World)
That makes sense to me. The game against City is the biggest hurdle they have to take on their way to the final. I don't see Bayern quite on the same level as City, but as you said taking both hurdles combined makes it less likely for them to get into the final. But the team is absolutely ready for those games. Good to see that Vinicius Junior is doing well again after his injuries. I love watching him play. I feel he sometimes gets too distracted by this idiotic racism shit, but as long as he can turn it into positive anger and play one level above his best, it's ok for him as a player (not as a human being though as that should be handled far more rigorously).
If Real can take the City hurdle, I think they'll be the favorite in the next stage no matter whether Arsenal or Bayern make it there.
If Real Madrid gets the opportunity and defeats Manchester City in the quarter-finals, I believe Real Madrid will be in the final because it is only Manchester City that is scaring the fans, they need to perform very well to get the chance and defeat Guadiola in the Champions League, but I know Ancelotti will change his information against Manchester City because they are new players in the team now, and Militoa will not get the chance to play against Manchester City this season because of the injury. Rudigel will be able to play full-time. I don't want Manchester City to win any trophies this season because they won everything last season, Guadiola wants to win the champions league back to back like Zidane, because they don't used to joke with any of their matches in the league and the champions league, let's see if Guadiola will get the second trophy this season again because if they defeat Real Madrid this time they will definitely qualify to the final, and I don't see any clubs that are strong enough apart from Real Madrid that can compete with guadiola in the Champions League competition this season.