Arsenal's strength has improved a lot at the moment and this is in contrast to Bayern Munich, which has experienced a slight decline and their inability to maintain consistency this season means this match will be difficult.
Mathematically, based on what happened last season, Bayern Munich will be slightly favored in this match, but if you look at the strength, I see there is a chance for both teams to qualify for the semifinals.
Correct. Arsenal's strength this season is better, while Bayern Munich is playing like it was out of character in previous seasons. Of course both teams have the same opportunity, Bayern Munich will concentrate fully on the UCL league because there is no longer any hope in the domestic league, for Arsenal this is a good opportunity to win this match and be able to qualify for the semifinals. taking advantage of Bayern Munich's weaknesses this season.
But overall, Bayern Munich has a big chance because Arsenal has a busy schedule and all the matches are important. I see this as one of the reasons why EPL clubs rarely win the UCL. The reason is that the league schedule is very busy. For example, next April after playing against Man City, Arsenal will have to play again on the 4th against Luton, then on the 6th against Brighton, and on the 10th against Bayern Munich. three games a week.
Meanwhile, other leagues only play once, for example Bayern Munich only plays on the 6th, even Real Madrid only plays on the 1st before meeting Man City on the 10th. You could say that the excitement of the EPL is very challenging. However, being able to compete with other leagues in the UCL is a problem for teams from the EPL league.