Your educated guess on BTC price at the end of 2024
I would consider $100k at the end of 2024 or early in 2025 first quarter, simply because bitcoin have already reached $70k+ and broke the ATH just before the actual bitcoin halving takes place. So, there is a huge potential for bitcoin to hit the 6 digit figure.
Also, a lot of investors are very optimistic for that figure for bitcoin to achieve this year in the post halving, just like every bullrun from the last 3 halvings.
If bitcoin wont hit 6 digit figure, at least it will reach near that, maybe around $90k.
If Bitcoin hits $100k then there is no way it's coming back to 5 digits anytime sooner because we will see more investment pouring in it it crosses $100k because this has been a long awaited target for years but right now I feel it's accumulation period as there has been ups and downs in the market. I think how market behaves post halving will decide if it's possible this year or the following year.