The interesting match of the Italian Serie A today is AS Roma vs Lazio, a match that will show how each of them will end the season with respect to the Champions league and Europa league. AS Roma have a shot at the Champions league if they can close the five points gap between them and the potential newcomer Bologna. Roma will likely win Lazio tonight to reduce the gap to two points pending what will be the outcome of the match between Bologna and the relegation threatened Frosinone. On the other hand, if Roma is unable to win Lazio who will is still fighting to displace Atalanta in the Europa Conference league spot, then it will be highly unlikely that Roma will qualify for champions league next season and that will be a huge setback for them, missing two champions leagues in a row.
Roma should be favored by playing at home. but Lazio still cannot be underestimated. they beat Juventus even though in the end they were countered by Juve and had to lose 2-0 in the next meeting.
Maybe Roma can win, but it won't be easy and the match will be tight. there could be a small goal difference advantage if their strategy succeeds in frustrating Lazio's players.