Good we dropped the 2021 number 1 notch today
Little by little, we are going to eek out those 2021 dates.. .. but I would imagine that the odds are quite high that it is likely to take more than 82 days to accomplish such eekening...
Not impossible to do it in 82 days, but seems like a long shot-- maybe greater than 90% odds of taking longer than 82 days.
Poor us.
Don't get me wrong. I am not much of a subscriber to any theories regarding "down before up" since there are several ways in which we might not end up accomplishing ONLY "UP only" from here... so in that regard, I am continuously suggesting that folks make sure that they are prepared for UP.. .. but still, how could we assign less than 90% odds towards ONLY 82 days remaining to knock out the remaining 2021 dates?
so we take off now and smoke them and 82 bagger.
you say 1 in 10
Approximately 1 in 10.. something in that range.. Are you in the mood to bet me, you gambling fool? hahahahahaha no homo..
I couldn't resist to address you as a "fool".. it just seemed to fit well. By the way, I would not be willing to give anyone the level of odds that I believe to be likely on me, but I might be willing give odds that are slightly greater than 50/50.. .. .. but yeah, so maybe that reflects that I am not as confident that I say, since I am not willing to give the full odds that I ascribe.. so then a balance might be considering what odds I might be willing to give, and surely each day the odds might be different from the previous day (and even changes on the hour could cause the odds to change). so today (or earlier today at that particular moment) I was saying (and still I say, for now) 90%-ish odds..
but with the passage of time and if we were to continue to stay above $67,483, then the odds surely would continue to come down with the passage of each day that we were to stay above $67,483, if such a thing were to happen, and then also questioning how far we might end up going above $67,483 would also likely be a factor and would also end up changing the odds in my own head.. So, for sure, odds are a kind of ephemeral concept that have to be captured at the time that they are proclaimed because various subsequent events could end up changing how they are perceived and assessed and based on the passage of time and event(s) could change such assessment of odds radically and/or materially in one direction or another.
What is your basis for calculating these odds? Show your workings ...